The research group managed by Michel Crucifix is part of the Georges Lemaitre Centre for Earth and Climate Research, itself included in the Earth and Life Institute of the Université catholique de Louvain.

We address mathematical and statistical aspects of climate and palaeoclimate dynamics. We use dynamical system theory, experiments with general circulation models, methods of inference (emulation, dynamical system calibration) and time-series analysis methods to characterise the dynamics of the climate system, estimate its predictability and identify physical mechanisms of variability.

Over the past five years the team has been funded by an ERC Starting Grant that is now over, and it is now funded by the National Fund of Scientific Research as well as the Belgian Science Policy Office.

Recent presentations...

  • 17 February 2016: Ocean - atmosphere : what can one predict, how, and on what time scales ?, given at Invited contribution to lecture on "The Earth System and Climate Change" by Dr Luke Skinner and Prof Eric Wolff, University of Cambridge at Cambridge
  • 11 November 2015: Climate sensitivity, given at NESSC Workshop: Mathematical approaches to (paleo-)climate sensitivity at Soesterberg (The Netherlands) weblink
  • 30 October 2015: Vers une nouvelle histoire des glaciations, given at Conference de l'UTAN at Andenne (Belgium)

Recent articles...

  • M. Mitsui , M. Crucifix (2016) , Influence of external forcings on abrupt millennial-scale climate changes: a statistical modelling study, Climate Dynamics doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3235-z weblink
  • S. Lovejoy , M. Crucifix, A. De Vernal (2016) , Characterizing Climate Fluctuations over Wide-Scale Ranges, Eos 97 doi:10.1029/2016eo055791 weblink
  • Past Interglacials Working Group of PAGES (2016) , Interglacials of the last 800,000 years, Reviews of Geophysics 54 doi:10.1002/2015RG000482